The economics of smoking

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[img_inline align=”right” src=”http://padnws01.mcmaster.ca/images/decicca.jpg” caption=”Phil DeCicca, an assistant professor of economics, studies the effectiveness of public policies, such as tax increases, on smoking habits. He was recently awarded a Tier II Canada Research Chair in Public Economics to continue his studies. “]

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Phil DeCicca studies the economics of one of the country's top killers – smoking. A
health economist by trade, DeCicca researches the impact public policies have on the
habits of smokers: Does the rate of smoking change with increased cigarette prices?
Does age play a role? At what point do taxes encourage smokers to turn to smuggling?

When faced with these questions as well as the overwhelming evidence of smoking's
negative impact on human health, many in the field fast become anti-smoking
advocates. DeCicca, however, prides himself on his ability to remain an impartial
researcher.

“I'm looking to understand the impact of policies, not what I want to be true.”

Still, that didn't stop him from celebrating when his own father recently quit smoking,
after years of prodding from his family. He did begin his academic career as a pre-
medical student, after all.

DeCicca, an assistant professor of economics, was href=”http://dailynews.mcmaster.ca/story.cfm?id=7070″>recently given a Tier II
Canada Research Chair in Public Economics to continue his studies into the
effectiveness of cigarette
tax policy, part of a $12-million dollar investment in McMaster research announced by
the federal
government in November.

“We've discovered that most people don't quit smoking when higher taxes are added to
the cost of cigarettes,” said DeCicca. “Now we need to understand why that is. “

Conventional wisdom holds that younger smokers are more likely to quit due to
increases in the cost of cigarettes than older, more established smokers, however
DeCicca's research has found otherwise.

“There is actually a fairly small responsiveness to cigarette taxes,” he said. “It's just not
the case that most smokers quit when taxes increase. I would say that the largest
effects imply that a one dollar tax increase would lead, at most, ten per cent of
smokers to quit.”

Tax avoidance behaviours, such as smuggling, cross-border purchasing and the buying
of illegal cigarettes from so-called “smoke shacks” – all of which some smokers turn to
when prices climb – rank among some of DeCicca's current topics of interest.

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